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Eric Newton’s presentation on the history and future of journalism was surprisingly interesting. In it, he painted a stark picture of not only the future of journalism, but also the future of the world and how it relates to the journalistic profession.Newton listed the history of journalism, as well as the theory that a new brand of media evolves with every passing generation. From the pamphlet age to our current digital media juggernaut of an existence, one can definitely see the cyclical nature of journalistic evolution. But Newton didn’t simply stop at the current age. Instead, using predictions from “The Singularity is Near” and similar books, he applied the technological outlook to journalism. With the advent of new robotic organisms and faster, more instant global dissemination, the future speed and reach of news will only expand.However, I believe the human element will fall by the wayside in the relatively new future. While the ability to deliver the news will speed up, the same can be said of how humans wish to receive the news. Long drawn out explanations will no longer be desired. They barely are now. Journalists role will decrease. People will want the information, and at most they will look to experts for analysis.
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Eric Newton, the senior adviser to the president of the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, spoke in the Walter Cronkite School’s first amendment forum Monday night on the future and history of news. Newton emphasized in the lecture, what 1676 tells us about 2110, that the technology we are using today seemed crazy at one point but many of the inventions we now use such as Skype, cell phones, and the iPad were seen in movies years ago. He said that every American generation grows up with a different form of media starting in 1767. In 1767 it began with pamphlets and from there media progressed to newspapers, then to daily newspapers because of the printing press, then the telegraph and so on. He also said that history shows every 80 years there is a tragedy or great awakening, for example the civil war was 80 years before WWII and we will be another time of tragedy and experience World War 3.0. He also said that there are already “cyber armies.” According to Newton, media is becoming more personal, portable, and participatory. He also said that the journalism and mass communication field is changing drastically and that print journalism will die. He predicted that in the future there will be intelligent media, bio media (which will include augmented reality), machine awareness, hyper media where data will be imported to our brains, and also Omni media where information will be exported from our brains in the form of things such as telepathy. At the conclusion of these changes he predicted there will be a World War 4.0, he said this is a war in which humans will be fighting against non-humans. At the end of this lecture he said that there are multiple reasons why this wouldn’t happen but reminded the audience that no matter how crazy it seems it is still an option.
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Eric Newton’s lecture was a very interesting one. Compared to the rest of human history, the past century has been the biggest and fastest progression of technology. Only just recently, within the last 20 years, has news and information been able to easily reach the entire world. The differences between our life style now and a couple of decades ago are dramatically different. Science fiction writers and general predictions of the future have been the idea generators for the next steps in technology. They only thought about what the future could be like, and came up with a simple representation of what they thought could actually hold the technology. The rate of technological progression lately has been explosive, and because historically, the future idea predictors have been the ones to motivate the actual creations and development of new technology, it would be a good guess to say that the predicted future ideas will continue to come about with the speed of these recent decades. However, to extrapolate the recent progression to say that within just a hundred years humans will be able to perform telekinesis and manipulate the environment around us is going too far. It would be an educated guess to say that technology will continue to advance at an exponential rate, but it is also possible that the actual progression of futuristic ideas will slow down, and the rate of technological progression will plateau. I hope I’m wrong, and that media and technology will continue to progress at these recent rates, but I have serious doubts of just how far we will actually go, or if the rate will keep up at all.
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Tonights Must See Monday with Eric Newton offered a great look at the future of journalism. By looking at how journalism has progressed over time, he showed us how we can take that same pattern and apply it to the future. The predictions he brought up were amazing and so advanced it’s crazy to think of society functioning like that one day. And being here at ASU as a journalism student makes me excited for the future and the prospect of being a part of this great future. Some people may think that these advancements may ruin journalism but I think that these will help journalism and get more people even more news faster than ever before. The future is bright for journalism and as long as technology makes great advancements then journalism will be right there with it. I’m excited to be part of the future of journalism and the road it will possibly go down.
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A History of the Future of News: What 1767 Tells Us About 2110Eric Newton – Senior adviser to the president of the John s. and James L. Knight Foundation I found tonight’s lecture to be both the most intriguing and the most enjoyable “ See Monday” by far. What really caught my attention were the strange coincidences Mr. Newton presented. In 1767 the new New York was predicted to contain many tall buildings made of stone (skyscrapers) and ships (steamboats). Ideas for modern technology like Skype, the IPad, and the cell phone were derived from movies, which in fact were not based on realistic events, like “The Jetsons”, “Space Odyssey”, and “Star Trek”, respectively. This indeed proves Newton’s closing statement, “if you think of the future and it makes sense, it’s not correct.” In a way, the more radical the idea, the more likely it is to actually occur. With technology seeming to advance every new generation, this leads to new ways of retrieving and reporting the news. By the year 2120, if this pattern persists, new media forms, awakenings, and crises will continue to accelerate beyond our current World War 3.0 to World War 4.0. In this period, Newton predicts that like the arguments and attacks going on in the cyber world today (World War 3.0) will be between humans and non-humans in World War 4.0; Machines will evolve beyond humans. Therefore, it is wise to take an interest in digital media, learn its history and its features, make friends with people who speak “tech.”
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“The first principle in predicting the future is to think crazy.” This is what Eric Newton, Senior adviser to the president of the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, said tonight at Must See Monday. Before predicting what news will be like in future generations, Newton talked about what the past generations have been like. Starting in 1767, in the Compromise generation, pamphlets were the form of media that existed. Partisan weekly newspapers came in the Transcendental generation. The Gilded generation brought populist daily newspapers. The Associated Press arrived during the Progressive generation. Illustrated magazines came in the Missionary generation. The Lost generation brought major metropolitan daily newspapers. Photography in print arrived during the G.I. generation. Radio newscasts came in the Silent generation. The Boom generation brought glossy colored magazines. TV newscasts arrived during the Gen X generation. The World Wide Web came in the Millennial generation. Mobile and social media exist in the generation we are currently in, the Cyber generation, and will be in until 2026. After talking about the media that has existed in past generations, he went on to the predictions of what media will be like in the future. He also added, “When a media pops, that’s when it shapes us and we shape it.” The generation that is predicted for 2027-2047 is the Visionary generation. This will mainly be intelligent media, including smart grids, robotics and artificial intelligence. All media will be smart. Public information will be public the moment it enters a computer. The Hybrid Generation is predicted for 2048-2068. This will be based on bio media, including nanotechnology, media implants and enhanced human capacity. People will be able to pass their life experiences on. “People will be able to ask you questions when you’re dead and your digital memory will answer,” Newton said. You could hear laughter across the room after that. The generation that is predicted for 2069-2089 is the Courageous generation. This will mainly be hyper media, including cranial downloads and thought aggregators. From 2090-2110, the generation that is predicted is the Enlightened Generation. This will be based on omni media. So what’s a journalism major to do?Newton had five main points of advice:-Learn truthful storytelling in all media.-Watch a lot more science fiction.-Rewrite codes of ethics.-Develop sources for covering World War 3.0 and new social structures that may emerge.-Play your historic role without fear or favor, balancing mind, body and soul.Newton said there are many possible reasons why the predictions may not come true, but said “they’re definitely crazy, so they might happen.”
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